Posted by: Dark Defender | November 6, 2008

Iran congratulates Obama, as well they should

From this story:

(AP) Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad on Thursday congratulated Barack Obama on his election win – the first time an Iranian leader has offered such wishes to a U.S. president-elect since the 1979 Islamic Revolution.

Ahmadinejad sent a message to Obama in which he congratulated the Democrat on “attracting the majority of voters in the election.”

The text of the note was carried by the official IRNA news agency.

In the message, Ahmadinejad also said he hopes Obama will “use the opportunity to serve the (American) people and leave a good name for history” during his term in office.

I bet Iran is very anxious to appear “tame” and begin talks (even low level ones) with the Obama administration.  If Obama is serious about pulling out of Iraq ASAP, it will open up a huge opportunity for Iran.  Next door they will have a weak, divided, isolated country with vast oil reserves, which owing to its Shia majority appears poised to fall into their orbit.

So yeah I bet they are really excited to get down to business with Obama.  Here’s hoping he was lying during the election and doesn’t really plan to abandon Iraq.

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Responses

  1. I don’t think Obama ever said anything about abandoning Iraq. I don’t think reconstruction and a responsible phased withdraw of forces equates to abandoning.

    http://sonofbillbrasky.com

  2. Well they key word is “responsible”. Is his plan going to be responsbile? What is his most recent plan an 18 month withdrawl? How will it be handled? What if there are setbacks during it? How will he insure Iran doesnt gain undue infuence over the country?

    I havent heard much on those issues, so while I hope he does a good job, im wary.

  3. Iran may be looking to gain influence in Iraq, but they are not the only ones. Should America actually withdraw from Iraq and leave a power vacuum Iran will not be the only neighbor willing to fill that vacuum. Saudi Araba has a vested interest in maintainung a somewhat balance of power in the region. I do not see them sitting on the sidelines and watching a Shia Iran gain undue control over Iraq.

    With that being said, maybe all the oil money and military aid we give to Saudi Arabia will finally be put to good use in combatting a mutual enemy, either overtly or covertly, in the future.

  4. Good to see you Ulo, welcome to the site.

    Good point about Saudi having its own interests in Iraq.

    It will be difficult for them to intervene effectivley though I fear. Their sympathies will be with the Sunni and Iran presumedly will have the sympathy of the Shia.

    It could get really ugly if Iran and Saudi end up fighting a proxy war for influence in Iraq. Saudi with tons of money and Iran with tons of people, it could be very ugly.

    Iraq is going to be a real challenge for Obama, I dont see a lot of good choices, it will be interesting to see what he does.


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